Wonkosphere favors McCain slightly for Michigan
by WonkoKevin
The polls for the Michigan’s Republican primary on Tuesday point to a close race, with some showing McCain ahead and some showing Romney ahead. Reading the buzz, nothing becomes more clear. We’ve got some bloggers saying Romney has a bit of breathing room now, but others touting McCain’s apparent surge of national support. Wonkosphere data would seem to favor McCain, but I don’t know how predictive that national edge might be of the Michigan results. Both McCain and Romney have enjoyed above-average sentiment from conservative bloggers, and for Romney this is quite a break from the pattern over the last month of a lot of negativity being thrown his way. No doubt a sign his supporters see MI as critical and are pulling out all the stops. On the other hand, McCain enjoys the lead in buzz share over the last two weeks, and has had buzz share increase for three days in a row. My predictions: McCain 35, Romney 32, Huckabee 18, Paul 5, Giuliani 5, Thompson 5. Romney 35-McCain 32 would not be at all surprising though either.
