Conventional wisdom (or as bloggers like to say, CW) says that negative attention is bad. But Clinton’s negatives went way up in Wonkosphere and she won New Hampshire. Huckabee’s negatives went way up and he’s going to win South Carolina. No, negative attention is only bad if it leads to no attention. It’s no attention that is death. Case in point, John Edwards 2008. Despite coming in second in Iowa within the relevant timespan, Edwards liberal buzz share (blue line) has consistently gone down, day after day, in all of 2008. Likewise, conservative bloggers have also turned away. Now Edwards is below the critical 10% buzz share line. With all the fanblogs out there, if you can’t hit 10% not even your fans are interested. I can’t get the Tom Petty song “Free Fallin’” out of my head…
Update: From the comments below the data are not very good news for Edwards fans. Please note Wonkosphere is non-partisan; we in fact picked Edwards to win Iowa in our original pick in mid-December.
It is true that there are lots of diaries on Daily Kos who are Edwards supporters (we wrote about it several months ago). And it is true that only the main feed from Daily Kos is in our directory. We tried to add the individual feeds but it didn’t work, and DK hasn’t responded back as to how to make it work. But I just did a search, and over the last 5 days there are 40 diaries about Edwards in Daily Kos and 51 about Obama. So the trend is broad.