« Conservative bloggers tired of Huckabee? Plus, McCain closes in on Romney in buzz share
Absolutely no convergence amongst conservative bloggers, except against Hillary »

Wonkoblog picks Obama, McCain to win New Hampshire

by WonkoKevin

Here are my picks for the New Hampshire primary. With the Democrats, I am mostly data-driven with a fudging of 1-2 percentage points, based on the fact that liberal buzz share in Wonkosphere seems to be tracking NH poll numbers pretty well. With the Republicans, I am going by current poll numbers plus changes in buzz share over the last 5 days, which heavily favors McCain and disfavors Huckabee.

Dems: Obama 42, Clinton 33, Edwards 19, Richardson 5, Kucinich 1

Reps: McCain 35, Romney 31, Huckabee 12, Paul 10, Giuliani 10, Thompson 2

Visit Wonkosphere

This entry was posted on Monday, January 7th, 2008 at 8:02 am and is filed under Horse race, Giuliani, Romney, McCain, Wonkosphere, Fred Thompson, Paul, Richardson, Clinton, Edwards, Huckabee, Obama. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

6 Responses to “Wonkoblog picks Obama, McCain to win New Hampshire”

  1. Wonkoblog picks Obama, McCain to win New Hampshire « Blogs for McCain Says:
    January 7th, 2008 at 2:51 pm

    […] Wonkoblog picks Obama, McCain to win New Hampshire by WonkoKevin […]

  2. guilhem.fouetillou Says:
    January 8th, 2008 at 2:58 am

    Same order for us : http://presidentialwatch08.com/index.php/2008/01/08/new-hampshire-primaries-obama-mccain/

    We hope you’ll continue playing this little game ;)

  3. WonkoBlog » Blog Archive » A historical archive of the Clinton death headlines pre-NH Says:
    January 9th, 2008 at 6:20 am

    […] in the Clinton camp itself predicted a 12-15 point loss, I guess it’s OK to have blown the Obama NH prediction.  Nothing in Wonkosphere data appears to have suggested this.  As a gentle and […]

  4. WonkoBlog » Blog Archive » Wonkoblog gets B+ for predictions Says:
    January 9th, 2008 at 7:21 am

    […] be more realistic but it was only that one problem I missed…Here’s a comparison of my predictions to the actual outcomes in New Hampshire, actual shown in […]

  5. Coupon Februar 13 Says:
    November 17th, 2012 at 2:42 pm

    Coupon Februar 13…

    WonkoBlog » Blog Archive » Wonkoblog picks Obama, McCain to win New Hampshire…

  6. Smartgirl Gutschein Dezember12 Says:
    November 25th, 2012 at 9:18 am

    Smartgirl Gutschein Dezember12…

    WonkoBlog » Blog Archive » Wonkoblog picks Obama, McCain to win New Hampshire…

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.