http://wonkoblog.com/2007/11/07/internet-buzz-accurately-predicts-polling-results/ Official Blog of Wonkosphere.com Thu, 07 Aug 2008 19:49:51 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.2.1 http://wonkoblog.com/2007/11/07/internet-buzz-accurately-predicts-polling-results/#comment-247 WonkoBlog » Blog Archive » As New Hampshire goes, so goes the liberal blogosphere Fri, 28 Dec 2007 16:54:13 +0000 http://wonkoblog.com/2007/11/07/internet-buzz-accurately-predicts-polling-results/#comment-247 [...] In previous posts we’ve discussed how changes in Wonkosphere buzz share are predictive of changes in national poll numbers 2-3 weeks hence.  With Iowa less than one week away, however, a 2-3 week-ahead prediction doesn’t do much good.  And because of the impending January 3 date, everything is in hyperspeed now.  So we need to look for other clues in the data.  What we find is that the buzz share numbers in the conservative blogosphere largely mimic the current national polling numbers, while the buzz share numbers in the liberal blogosphere largely mimic the current poll numbers coming out of New Hampshire. [...] […] In previous posts we’ve discussed how changes in Wonkosphere buzz share are predictive of changes in national poll numbers 2-3 weeks hence.  With Iowa less than one week away, however, a 2-3 week-ahead prediction doesn’t do much good.  And because of the impending January 3 date, everything is in hyperspeed now.  So we need to look for other clues in the data.  What we find is that the buzz share numbers in the conservative blogosphere largely mimic the current national polling numbers, while the buzz share numbers in the liberal blogosphere largely mimic the current poll numbers coming out of New Hampshire. […]

]]> http://wonkoblog.com/2007/11/07/internet-buzz-accurately-predicts-polling-results/#comment-232 WonkoBlog » Blog Archive » Buzz share suggests shift from Obama to Edwards Thu, 20 Dec 2007 14:57:23 +0000 http://wonkoblog.com/2007/11/07/internet-buzz-accurately-predicts-polling-results/#comment-232 [...] over the last week or two may have predictive power concerning what will happen on January 3, in the same manner that buzz share has been predictive of poll numbers throughout the rest of the race.  Numbers are [...] […] over the last week or two may have predictive power concerning what will happen on January 3, in the same manner that buzz share has been predictive of poll numbers throughout the rest of the race.  Numbers are […]

]]> http://wonkoblog.com/2007/11/07/internet-buzz-accurately-predicts-polling-results/#comment-190 WonkoBlog » Blog Archive » Paul, Huckabee dominate buzz share in November Thu, 06 Dec 2007 15:55:40 +0000 http://wonkoblog.com/2007/11/07/internet-buzz-accurately-predicts-polling-results/#comment-190 [...] the increased buzz share that Ron Paul got in November a sign that the polls may move in his direction in the coming weeks, or an indication that Paul bloggers are mobilizing even more as we hit [...] […] the increased buzz share that Ron Paul got in November a sign that the polls may move in his direction in the coming weeks, or an indication that Paul bloggers are mobilizing even more as we hit […]

]]> http://wonkoblog.com/2007/11/07/internet-buzz-accurately-predicts-polling-results/#comment-180 WonkoBlog » Blog Archive » Huckabee & Obama surge to Wonkosphere lead today Mon, 03 Dec 2007 15:45:39 +0000 http://wonkoblog.com/2007/11/07/internet-buzz-accurately-predicts-polling-results/#comment-180 [...] about since last March.  What will it look like in December?  Well, as the Wonkosphere goes, so go the poll numbers, and things are looking bright today for the candidate darlings, Mike Huckabee and Barack Obama, [...] […] about since last March.  What will it look like in December?  Well, as the Wonkosphere goes, so go the poll numbers, and things are looking bright today for the candidate darlings, Mike Huckabee and Barack Obama, […]

]]> http://wonkoblog.com/2007/11/07/internet-buzz-accurately-predicts-polling-results/#comment-154 WonkoBlog » Blog Archive » How blogs impact political opinion Mon, 26 Nov 2007 16:03:18 +0000 http://wonkoblog.com/2007/11/07/internet-buzz-accurately-predicts-polling-results/#comment-154 [...] In earlier posts we’ve discussed how blogs are predictive of popular opinion–specifically, changes in buzz share tend to be followed by changes in poll numbers 2-3 weeks later.  The main reason is that blogs acts as early adopters of news stories and ideology, and vet these for the broader public. [...] […] In earlier posts we’ve discussed how blogs are predictive of popular opinion–specifically, changes in buzz share tend to be followed by changes in poll numbers 2-3 weeks later.  The main reason is that blogs acts as early adopters of news stories and ideology, and vet these for the broader public. […]

]]> http://wonkoblog.com/2007/11/07/internet-buzz-accurately-predicts-polling-results/#comment-112 WonkoBlog » Blog Archive » Ron Paul jumps to over 50% buzz share Wed, 07 Nov 2007 15:52:25 +0000 http://wonkoblog.com/2007/11/07/internet-buzz-accurately-predicts-polling-results/#comment-112 [...] « Internet buzz accurately predicts polling results [...] […] « Internet buzz accurately predicts polling results […]

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