Bzzz… on Gore
by WonkoKevin
So, the first basic question is: Will Al Gore enter the race? Everyone points to a two-week window. The Nobel Peace Prize will be announced October 12, a filing dates for the early primary states are rapidly approaching, so if he is going to jump, it will be within the next three weeks, and perhaps at the announcement ceremony itself, or immediately thereafter. The second question is: Would it make a difference?
Frank Newport at Gallup points to numbers that it wouldn’t matter. Here are the numbers with Gore in:
Hillary Clinton 40%
Barack Obama 21%
Al Gore 15%
John Edwards 9%
With Gore out, the standings are:
Hillary Clinton 47%
Barack Obama 25%
John Edwards 11%
As we and others have blogged about, these aren’t necessarily the numbers that matter though. National poll numbers aren’t terribly predictive because of the huge impact Iowa and NH, and now perhaps SC and NV, have on subsequent voter sentiment. However, there are no “lead indicators” to suggest that the state poll numbers are different from the national poll numbers in Gore’s case. On the rare instances he has been included, he has a hard time getting out of double digits in IA, and is more or less tied with Richardson in NH. At the same time, we see little buzz on Gore in Wonkosphere, with perhaps the exception of a few ardent fans at Daily Kos. Of course, this is pre-campaign, and one would assume that a Gore campaign could “move the stick”. And a Nobel Peace Prize wouldn’t hurt. On the other hand, Bill Richardson has been nominated for the same award 4 times and it doesn’t seem to have scored many extra points for him.
September 28th, 2007 at 12:47 am
AMERICA FOR GORE: NATIONWIDE COALITION CREATED TO DRAFT AL GORE FOR PRESIDENT IN 2008
National Milestone Reached in Growing Grassroots Movement
BOSTON, Massachusettsâ??September 21, 2007â??They are teachers and students, scientists and doctors, secretaries and CEOs, store clerks and store owners, factory workers and artists. They represent every demographic group and every geographic region in the country. They are everyday Americans, from coast to coast and across the political spectrumâ??Democrats, Independents, Republicans, conservatives, liberals, moderates. And they have two things in common: They have become involved in the political process (many for the first time), and they want Al Gore to run in the 2008 presidential election.
And, as of September 2007, the grassroots effort of these thousands of individuals has reached a milestone: They have joined together as a nationwide coalitionâ??America for Gore.
America for Gore encompasses all the major and minor groups within the movement whose goal is to persuade Al Gore to run for president. Among the groups in the coalition are DraftGore.com, AlGore.org, Netroots for Gore, GoreHub.com, AlGore08 MySpace, Draft Gore Facebook groups, GoreforPresidentNow.com, Goreganic.com, RunDammit.com, RunGoreRun.com, and the Al Gore Support Center, as well as hundreds of Draft Gore meetups and groups nationwide. While the groups will continue to focus on their individual strategies, they will also be working together on important initiatives by sharing information, exchanging ideas, and mobilizing their members to help other groups within the coalition.
The America for Gore coalition is launching a new websiteâ??www.AmericaforGore.orgâ??to establish a central location on the web for the coordination of this grassroots effort. America for Gore is not replacing existing websites, groups, and blogs. The individual websites of each organization will continue to exist as before, but the new coalition website will keep group members and the public informed and will act as a portal, directing Gore supporters to the member sites so the can become involved in the many different facets of the Draft Gore movement.
Members of the coalition cite Gore’s unmatched political experience (eight years each in Congress, the Senate, and as Vice President), the fact that he won the popular vote in 2000, his early and outspoken opposition to the war in Iraq, and his commitment to solving the climate crisis as core strengths of a potential candidacy in 2008.
The formation of this coalition signals a significant increase in the sophistication of the Draft Gore movement as well as in the powers of coordination, recruitment, and influence of the movement.
By coordinating their activities, the groups hope to extend their reach, recruit more members, and increase their impact on the public’s and the media’s perception of Al Gore’s strength as a candidate.
June 1st, 2012 at 8:17 pm
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